Pacific

Can the San Jose Sharks Find a Market for Antti Niemi?

Can the San Jose Sharks Find a Market for Antti Niemi?
Christopher Hair

The San Jose Sharks have been struggling lately. It has been a difficult start to 2015 for the perennial playoff team. Since January 1st, the Sharks are 10-12-3 and an even worse 3-8-2 since the beginning of February. The poor play may shape the decisions GM Doug Wilson makes at the trade deadline. The Sharks have used a strategy of trading older players during the trade deadline and getting back younger players over the last couple of years. That approach has put goaltender Antti Niemi on the trade block for the last few weeks.

The struggles for the Sharks make a trade of the pending UFA much more sensible, but San Jose is going to run into some issues in regards to trying to trade him.

The first problem is that the Sharks don’t exactly have a ready-made replacement in-house. Since coming to San Jose as a free agent following a Stanley Cup winning season in Chicago in 2010, Niemi has played in 282 games for San Jose, all of them as the starter. The Sharks have played a total of 357 games since the start of the 2010-11 season. That means that Antti has started 79% of the games the Sharks have played since he has joined the team.

This year, that number is slightly lower at 75%. Still, when your top goalie is in the net for three out of every four games, he’s either tearing it up with his play or you have a weak backup.

Niemi’s play hasn’t been lights out, but has it been a problem for the Sharks? His save percentage is the exact same this season as it was last season (.913) and just off his career mark with San Jose at .916. His goals against has risen this season though, from 2.39 to 2.62. How does a goalie’s save percentage stay the same but his goals against per game go up?

There is an answer and it isn’t all on Niemi:

 

SAN JOSE RANKS
Year Shots Against per Game Average Penalty Minutes per Game
2013-14 27.8 (6th) 9.0 (5th)
2014-15 29.9 (20th) 9.3 (12th)

 

The Sharks are giving up two more shots per game this season compared to last and their average penalty minutes per game is up as well. Neither jump is huge, but connected to each other, it’s possible to assume that Niemi isn’t just seeing more shots, but higher quality shots in each game. So he’s saving them at pretty much the same rate, but more goals are being scored because of the shot increase.

With Niemi playing pretty similar hockey as he did last season and comparable to his San Jose career, he’s been the Sharks’ unquestioned number one goalie. Mainly because they haven’t really developed a backup. Alex Stalock is the current number two, but he has only played 42 NHL games over the span of the last four seasons. He was good last year for San Jose in 24 games, with a .932 sv% and a goals against under two (1.97). This year hasn’t been so kind. The save percentage is lower, as would be expected, but at .899 it’s below average. This has in turn raised his goals against to 2.85. Those aren’t the numbers of an NHL starter, unless your name is Mike Smith. At 27, Stalock may be what he is, and that is a career backup.

The Sharks also have Troy Grosenick (25) and Harri Sateri (25) in the system. Grosenick has two NHL starts this year, a 45 save shutout against the Hurricanes on November 16th and a loss to Buffalo on the 18th where he stopped 10 of 13 shots. Sateri has yet to make an NHL appearance.

If San Jose trades Niemi, they may be throwing in the towel on making the playoffs this season. That may happen anyway, given how things have gone recently.

But if San Jose isn’t worried about the playoffs, they have one more problem in trying to trade their starting goaltender: no one may want him.

Western Conference Starting Goalie Eastern Conference Starting Goalie
Nashville Pekka Rinne Montreal Carey Price
Anaheim Frederik Andersen Islanders Jaroslav Halak
St. Louis Brian Elliott Rangers Cam Talbot
Chicago Corey Crawford Tampa Bay Ben Bishop
Winnipeg Michael Hutchinson Detroit Jimmy Howard
Vancouver Ryan Miller Pittsburgh Marc Andre Fleury
Minnesota Devan Dubnyk Washington Brendan Holtby
Calgary Jonas Hiller Boston Tuukka Rask

The top playoff teams in both conferences are pretty well set as far as the crease goes. Anaheim is a slim possibility if they worry about Andersen and backup John Gibson’s relative youth. The Jets may feel that Niemi is better for them than Ondrej Pavelec as insurance if Hutchinson’s game goes south as the pressure rises. Miller may be hurt, but Vancouver isn’t adding another goalie to their full carousel.

Which leaves one extreme possibility – the New York Rangers. Cam Talbot has been great for the Blueshirts in the wake of Henrik Lundqvist’s  injury. If King Henrik can’t come back, Niemi would be a good, solid insurance policy for a Rangers team that is clearly going for it. It’s doubtful that New York gives up more assets for a rental like Antti Niemi, but if they are worried about Henrik coming back, it would make sense.

The Sharks don’t have a lot of options in selling their goalie. They may have to take a reduced price to move Niemi before he walks as a free agent. Maybe the Rangers wait them out to the very end and get insurance on Stanley Cup or bust trade season. Perhaps some other team with a sudden urge to keep up with the Jones enters the fray. Or maybe, when the dust settles after the deadline passes, the Sharks still have their goalie between the pipes because no one else could use him more.

Pacific
Christopher Hair
@TwoTonTwenty1

Christopher Hair has been an avid hockey fan for 20 years. He grew up on the Hollywood Kings of the late 80's and early 90's with Wayne Gretzky, Jari Kurri, Kelly Hrudey, and Luc Robitaille. Growing up in Glendale, Arizona he is living proof that hockey fans can be made and come from the desert. He is also an editor for Five for Howling.

More in Pacific

NHL: MAR 07 Canucks at Sharks

Bo Horvat Coming on Strong for the Canucks

Christopher HairMarch 20, 2015
NHL: FEB 12 Oilers at Canadiens

Nail Yakupov’s Resurgence Noticed by MacTavish

Cat SilvermanMarch 20, 2015
NHL: FEB 28 Coyotes at Bruins

Louis Domingue’s Rise Up Coyotes’ Depth Chart

Jaime EisnerMarch 19, 2015
NHL: FEB 28 Coyotes at Bruins

Louis Domingue Faces Old Demons

Cat SilvermanMarch 19, 2015
NHL: MAR 14 Blackhawks at Sharks

Joe Thornton Controversy Reaching Comical Levels

Cat SilvermanMarch 18, 2015
NHL: JAN 17 Ducks at Kings

Kings-Ducks Rivalry Hot Right Now

Anthony PerezMarch 18, 2015
Canucks

Lack Showing Potential In Miller’s Absence

Sebastian NorenMarch 17, 2015
NHL: JAN 28 Blackhawks at Kings

Pacific Division Power Rankings: Playoff Focus

Jaime EisnerMarch 17, 2015
NHL: OCT 23 Coyotes at Wild

Blueprint for the Arizona Coyotes’ Road to Respectability

Christopher HairMarch 16, 2015

YOUR HOCKEY YOUR WAY, BE SEEN BE HEARD BE A SLAPSHOT FAN TODAY! PART OF THE FANRAG SPORTS NETWORK

Slapshot on Facebook

Slapshot On Twitter

Tweets by @TodaysSlapshot

Copyright © 2014 Today's Slapshot, All Rights Reserved. | Terms of Use/Privacy | Copyright | Site Map | About Us | Authors | Contact Us